The
real estate market and the mortgage market are
great friends; they generally are seen hand in
hand, wherever they may go! One fuels the others
ambitions. Never a truer statement has been made
and they (the real estate and the mortgage
market) seem to feed off each other, as they both
have continued to grow over these last few years.
If a
potential buyer has the greater possibility of
securing a mortgage, the greater the opportunity
to sell a home or buy a home becomes; Whenever
the opportunities increase for the buying and
selling of real estate, then the prices for real
estate increase. Can you clearly see the
relationship now and how one drives the other? As
the mortgage market has expanded, and the
possibilities broadened, so have the prices of
homes, the new home construction market, as well
as the commercial development of real estate.
The
potential for problems exist when this all
happens too quickly, or when the growth in one
area exceeds the average growth rate of other
areas. This is the case with the real estate
market and the interest only mortgage. Much of
the growth in the mortgage market has been with
interest only loans. Many analysts put the
interest only segment of the mortgage market at
almost 23%. That is a huge hunk of the entire
mortgage market and this segment has been
responsible for most of the overall growth. It
would also seem that it has played a tremendous
role in fueling real estate prices. Is this a
rollercoaster ride, waiting for the drop, if so,
lets hope we are all buckled in!
Let us
take a moment to look at the four areas that
contribute to this continued upward growth, and
their impact on real estate.
The price
of existing homes on the market is a pretty easy
one to figure out; if you have your home for
sale, quite naturally it will bring a comparable
price to the other homes in your area. How does
this serve to drive real estate prices? This
concept works with a Domino effect, in that when
one home increases in value, it also affects the
homes around it driving the price, further
upward.
The new
home construction market is heavily reliant on
building material prices to determine the
building cost and the contractor's profitability.
If building construction is on the increase quite
naturally, the prices of building materials are
on the increase; when you have an optimistic and
growing economy, you will have increases in
building material cost.
The other
big drive in the real estate market comes from
the development of commercial property. In resort
areas, particularly the development of real
estate property for commercial purposes tends to
quickly affect the surrounding areas real estate
prices. Many of today's commercial mortgages have
reached loan limits well over $1 million; in
fact, some of the residential mortgage loans in
certain resort areas are approaching the have the
million-dollar mark.
Now, when
you combine all of these contribute factors, a
mortgage market that is extremely optimistic with
its lending capital, you have the makings of a
market segment, with the potential for a bubble
effect. What happens in a bubble effect economy?
The bubble continues to grow until it bursts.
This is what many analysts and economists fear:
that too many consumers are betting the farm on a
continual, optimistic spurt of growth. What could
cause our booming economy to rupture? In reality,
many conditions can contribute and provide the
needed catalyst.
Well,
what if there is a continual increase in pricing
but there is generally a continual downward
spiraling of the ride we&rsquore on? Well, if
there should be a tremendous downward turn in the
investment market, if there is a continuing loss
of jobs in this country, or if there are any
natural occurrences that lead to disasters that
are beyond governmental or company control, you
could see a possibility for disaster. Does that
mean it will happen? No. It just means that the
potential exists. But in the defense of the
housing and real estate market, if you are going
to be risky, thats the place to be. Its one of
the safest risky businesses that exist.

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